I woke up this morning really agitated that John Kasich is in the race still, but as I went around reading a bit I decided to run my own stupid projection. So many of the remaining states are winner take all anyway. I didn’t feel like I could really say on Wisconsin, but even if they did go to Drumpf he still wouldn’t make it without Pennsylvania and Indiana.
Now we may find something very different going on with Rubio out, but he was below 10% in a lot of the March 15 states.
Link to a file of this chart : 2016 Primary Forecast